Every betting system in roulette is flawed. In other words, any betting system you come up with is guaranteed to fail at some point. If this happens often enough, you will run out of money and the casino will thank you for paying their bills.
The key to staying in the game is controlling your impulse to “win back” your losses. The only way to do this is to use a conservative betting system. However, your expectation should be that you will eventually lose, no matter how conservative your betting strategy.
There Is the “Best” Bet
Many players prefer the outside bets in roulette despite their low odds. The math is simple: the lower the odds, the more likely you are to win.
While there is no mathematical advantage to choosing one of the even money outside bets, you can improve your odds by placing two 2:1 bets (12 numbers each, called “two dozen bets”) at once. This way you cover 24 numbers instead of 18. You can still lose, but you improve your chances of winning by 33%.
Aggressive Minimum Bet
The Aggressive Minimum Bet is really a conservative system. This simple method carries a bit more risk than the simple “two-dozen bet” described above.
The Basic Strategy
Make three 2:1 bets. This way you cover all but the green squares. Note that three of the same bets that pay 2:1 always lose money. You will need to vary the bet amounts. Here’s how to place your bets:
- Triple the table minimum
- Double the table minimum
- One time the table minimum
In European roulette, there is a 36 to 37 chance that the ball will land on one of your numbers. You hope that it will hit a number in the first or second set. You make a profit on the spin and keep one of your two higher bets in play.
If your lowest bet is in your net loss is only three times the table minimum. In the worst case, the wheel hits zero and you lose all three bets. As long as you are near the table minimum, that should be enough. That’s $30 on a $5 table and $150 on a $25 table.
So what’s the catch? It’s a random game. There is no “statistically even distribution of winnings” in roulette. Don’t put too much faith in simulations and statistical models. This betting method can make you more money than the simple “two dozen” bet described above, but it is riskier.
All Bets Are Independent And Valid Only For You
The house edge seems low when you look at the roulette math. So, why do casinos love roulette? When more players participate in a game, casinos use their losses against their winnings. Casinos only want to pay out players’ winnings from other players’ losses. Therefore, calculating a “house edge” can lead you astray.
This extreme example shows why “house edge” is not that important. Five players each bet the minimum on a different single number in European roulette. Their odds of winning are 37 to 1. If one of them wins, he gets 36 to 1. The casino uses the losses of the other 4 players to reduce its own loss. Thus, our five players continue to place single bets. It is always guaranteed that the casino will take at least four bets. It really doesn’t matter that the casino’s odds of winning all five bets on each spin are 32 out of 37. The casino only needs 7 wins to come out ahead in the first 36-to-1 payout. Players are less likely to win again during this period.
The “house edge” on a single bet plays less of a role in the casino’s accounting than yours. Therefore, it helps the casino to offset its losses against you by making more bets. Therefore, you should spread your bets only on low-risk choices.